Is the geopolitical landscape changing in South Asia?

Over the prolonged conflict with the AA, the Junta has erected numerous armament manufacturers along the banks of the Irrawaddy River. It is this that the Arakan Army focuses on now.

Is the political map of South Asia on the verge of transformation? From the looks of things, Indian-Chinese relations are at the brink of upheaval due to the Arakan Army’s occupation of the Myanmar-Bangladesh border. This too, can have implications on the region…

Myanmar has experienced dramatic transformations alongside political instability in the last few months. The Arakan Army, or AA, a rebel group, alongside other militias, has managed to capture the military’s western command located in the Rakhine State. On a similar tangent, the AADP has been able to seize the Myanmar-Bangladesh border, right when Bangladesh was suffering from political instability due to a collapsed Sheikh Hasina government. The implications of the AA’s victory over the Junta are estimated to affect the national boundaries of Myanmar as well as the geopolitical relations between Bangladesh, India and China.

Tactical Actions of Arakan Army

According to the Eurasian Times report, the Arakan Army aims to focus on the weapon factories of the junta situated on the banks of Irrawaddy River, towards the regions of Magway and Bago. These factories produce RPGs and heavy ammunition.This arms race can lead to a major war if those embodied by the rebel groups.

Myanmar’s Political Situation Education Since 2021

Myanmar has been grim and in a mess and has been very troublesome for the people of Myanmar since the military coup of 2021 that toppled down the democratically elected government in the country. Post the coup took place a number of rebel groups tried to campaign against the junta. The Arakan Army ventured into the northeastern part of Myanmar which is bordered with China and snatched large part of the territory from the borders. The combination of Rakhine State AA and Bangladesh border controls adds to the countrys growing instability region when combined with India's endless borders and China. Each country has a Formidable strategic security implications for Northern Thai stability,pork.The growing discomfort with respect to Bangladesh has been starting from the midst of 2021 military coup that started post the smoothly elected Government was dismissed. After the coup a number of other factions also started campaign against Junt. The AA soldiers invaded the Shan stat in a bid to overpower the Chinese border and established control across the area.

Eastern Asia is as massive as a shadowed giant and India and China are its demon-dripping sovereignty, China’s influence over Myanmar makes it pivotal for the entire region Indo-China’s stronghold.Reports have emerged that suggest the Arakan army is walking over the bangladeshi borderline. If ignited, AA and the Bangladeshi military have a terrible riot arising ahead. This situation could provide a security crisis to arise in the area . This spout could also lead to a grave geographical result —especially relevant, as it is presumed that the Rakhine got plenty of resources For India, stability in Myanmar is very important for the Act East policy and the Kaladan Multimodal Transit Transport Project.

India and China’s Challenges

The Western Command of Myanmar is in charge of guarding the Chin State, the Myanmar-Bangladesh border and certain areas along the Myanmar- India border. It also helps in protecting Indian interests in the zKaladan project, which is now facing threats. India is also apprehensive of supply of weapons, intercepted from Myanmar, to insurgent movements in its northeastern states. It is imperative to note, that China is engaged in Myanmar as the biggest trading partner and is affected by all the events in that region. The dragon has put up billions dollar in oil, gas and infrastructure projects in the country . Even though Chinese officials have tried to assist in negotiating a ceasefire between the junta and AA, their efforts have been effective to a limited degree.

The Arakan Army’s activities are of utmost concern for India and China as they could result in distinct conclusions and a new configuration of geopolitics in the region.